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Ayeyawady vs Thitsar Arman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zaw Saw Myo
47' Event
Aung P.
57' Event

AI Match Summary

Thitsar Arman in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thitsar Arman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ayeyawady
30%
Draws
42%
Thitsar Arman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ayeyawady have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Win probability leans Thitsar Arman's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 14%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Thitsar Arman
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 15
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Thitsar Arman
1:3
Feb 26, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Ayeyawady
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Thitsar Arman
0:0
Jan 20, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Thitsar Arman
0:1
Aug 5, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Ayeyawady
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw Saw Myo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 27 / 100
Thitsar Arman 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Thitsar Arman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ayeyawady scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Thitsar Arman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Ayeyawady stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Thitsar Arman
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 7

Thitsar Arman

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
4 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
5 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
6 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)