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Ayeyawady vs Yadanarbon Prediction & H2H Stats

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayeyawady host Yadanarbon in the National League. This one's hard to separate. Ayeyawady have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Yadanarbon's 1.83 scored and 1.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Ayeyawady have won 1 to Yadanarbon's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.00, favoring Yadanarbon. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
46%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yadanarbon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yadanarbon lately — more wins on the board than Ayeyawady.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 20%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Yadanarbon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yadanarbon
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady
3:1
Jul 7, 2024 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yadanarbon
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yadanarbon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 32 / 100
Yadanarbon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Ayeyawady scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ayeyawady went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Yadanarbon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 6

Yadanarbon

(Away)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)