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Ayeyawady vs Yangon United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayeyawady host Yangon United in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ayeyawady have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Yangon United's 3.29 scored and 0.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Ayeyawady have won 0 to Yangon United's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.19, favoring Yangon United. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
57%
Yangon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yangon United come out ahead of Ayeyawady on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yangon United a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yangon United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 10%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Yangon United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 25
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.33 3.29
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 National League
Yangon United vs Ayeyawady
0:0
May 10, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:1
Feb 17, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:4
Aug 25, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Ayeyawady
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 22 / 100
Yangon United 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Yangon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayeyawady's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Yangon United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 32% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Ayeyawady remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Yangon United
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
10 Oct
Ayeyawady
1 : 3
Thitsar Arman
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
Page 1 of 6

Yangon United

(Away)
11 Oct
Yangon United
1 : 2
Yangon Royals
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
9 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)