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Ayeyawady vs Yarmanya United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Phyo Aung P.
27' Event
Min T. N.
31' Event
Phyo Aung P.

AI Match Summary

Ayeyawady in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayeyawady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ayeyawady
15%
Draws
0%
Yarmanya United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayeyawady lately — more wins on the board than Yarmanya United.
  • Win probability leans Ayeyawady's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 20%
Yarmanya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayeyawady Yarmanya United
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.27 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.17 3.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yarmanya United
5:0
Aug 15, 2025 National League
Yarmanya United vs Ayeyawady
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Phyo Aung P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Min T. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Yarmanya United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayeyawady 85 / 100
Yarmanya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayeyawady Yarmanya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yarmanya United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 26 matches.

Away concern: Yarmanya United has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ayeyawady's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ayeyawady VS Yarmanya United
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayeyawady

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 6

Yarmanya United

(Away)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
08 Mar
Shan United
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
15 Feb
Yarmanya United
1 : 2
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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