Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Derynia

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayia Napa play Anagennisi Derynia in the Division 2 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ayia Napa averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Anagennisi Derynia averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Ayia Napa won 1, Anagennisi Derynia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ayia Napa and 1.00 for Anagennisi Derynia. This points to a Anagennisi Derynia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ayia Napa
22%
Draws
40%
Anagennisi Derynia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Anagennisi Derynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayia Napa picked up more points recently compared to Anagennisi Derynia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 23%
Anagennisi Derynia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayia Napa Anagennisi Derynia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Division 2
Anagennisi Derynia vs Ayia Napa
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Derynia
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2
Anagennisi Derynia vs Ayia Napa
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Division 2
Anagennisi Derynia vs Ayia Napa
2:0
Jan 28, 2023 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Anagennisi Derynia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayia Napa Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Anagennisi Derynia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayia Napa 39 / 100
Anagennisi Derynia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayia Napa Anagennisi Derynia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Anagennisi Derynia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ayia Napa attacking → ← attacking Anagennisi Derynia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayia Napa scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Anagennisi Derynia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ayia Napa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Anagennisi Derynia lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 36
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00