Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aylesbury United vs Ebbsfleet

England England

FA Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet in this FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aylesbury United
20%
Draws
40%
Ebbsfleet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet have won more games recently than Aylesbury United.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ebbsfleet arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ebbsfleet, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aylesbury United Clean Sheet 10%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aylesbury United Ebbsfleet
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2021 FA Cup
Aylesbury United vs Ebbsfleet
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury United 30 / 100
Ebbsfleet 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aylesbury United Ebbsfleet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aylesbury United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ebbsfleet conceded in 78% of 23 recent games.

Aylesbury United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aylesbury United VS Ebbsfleet
6 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury United

(Home)
28 Aug
Aylesbury United
6 : 4
Sittingbourne
06 Sept
Stanway Rovers
4 : 0
Aylesbury United
07 Sept
Wroxham
1 : 0
Aylesbury United
28 Jul
Aylesbury United
2 : 1
Milton Keynes Dons
20 Jul
Aylesbury United
1 : 1
Edgware Town
Page 1 of 6

Ebbsfleet

(Away)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atherton Collieries 4
Bridlington Town 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Witton Albion 2
Dunston 1
Marine 2
Kendal 0
Warrington Town 1
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Marske United 6
Seaham Red Star 0
Shildon 1
South Shields 3
Darlington FC -
TBD -
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Chester -
Runcorn Linnets 2
Liversedge 0
West Allotment Celtic 2
Bamber Bridge 7
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Curzon Ashton -
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Sunderland Ryhope 2
Stockton 4
Hednesford 2
Cleethorpes 3
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Alfreton -
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Chesterfield -
Hinckley LR 2
Hanley Town 3
Chasetown 2
Barwell 1
Brackley -
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Coalville Town 5
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Stalybridge 0
Colne 1
TBD -
Guiseley -
Blyth Spartans -
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Bootle 4
United of Manchester 5
Balham 0
Merstham 2
Margate 6
Thame United 4
Barnstaple Town 0
Lymington 1
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Hereford -
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Solihull Moors -
Squires Gate 1
North Shields 0
Barnoldswick Town 0
Pontefract Collieries 3
Halesowen 2
Ilkeston 1
Handsworth Parramore 2
Coventry United 0
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Halifax -
York City -
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Ashton United 0
Hebburn Town 1
Charnock Richard 2
Prescot Cables 3
Warrington Rylands 0
Whitby 4
Mossley AFC 1
Newton Aycliffe 0
Radcliffe 2
Skelmersdale 0
Morpeth 6
Hyde 1
Lancaster 1
1874 Northwich 0
Leamington -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 0
Stone Old Alleynians 1
Tividale 0
Spalding United 1
TBD -
Kettering -
City Of Liverpool 1
Clitheroe 0
TBD -
Farsley -
Sherwood Colliery 3
Buxton 7
Rushall 4
Stafford 2
Boston United -
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Corby 1
Hendon 0
Cambridge City 1
East Thurrock Utd 3
Needham Market 1
St Ives Town 0
Carlton Town 1
Stratford 3
Lichfield City 1
Nuneaton 3
Bedworth United 4
Winterton Rangers 1
Long Eaton 2
Coleshill Town 1
King’s Lynn -
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Barking 3
Aveley 2
Biggleswade FC 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Great Wakering 3
Peterborough Sports 2
Haringey Borough 1
Bromsgrove 2
Loughborough Students 0
Worksop 3
Newport Pagnell 0
Bedford 3
Canvey Island 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Welwyn Garden 4
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Grimsby -
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Telford -
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Stamford 2
Redditch 0
Bury Town 1
Norwich Utd 4
Royston Town 1
Mildenhall 2
AFC Fylde -
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Spennymoor -
Chorley -
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Southport -
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Altrincham -
Kings Langley 3
Romford 2
Leiston 3
Brightlingsea 2
Matlock 0
Belper Town 3
Tamworth 3
Alvechurch 1
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Aylesbury United 4
Willand Rovers 1
Kidlington 2
Bishops Cleeve 3
Kennington 0
Carshalton 3
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Ebbsfleet -
Walton Casuals 2
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Basingstoke 4
Bridgwater United 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
Wimborne 3
Oxhey Jets 3
Kingstonian 10
Haywards Heath 1
Horsham FC 3
Fleet Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Woking -
Burgess Hill 2
Bracknell Town 0
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Dorking Wanderers -
Weston-super-Mare 3
Flackwell Heath 2
Shepton Mallet 1
Taunton Town 8
Hayes & Yeading 4
Bognor Regis 3
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Tonbridge -
Slough Town -
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Littlehampton 4
Whitehawk 5
Whitstable Town 2
Leatherhead 3
Worthing FC 2
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Wingate & Finchley 7
Basildon 2
Baldock 1
FC Wisbech Town 0
Lewes 1
Metropolitan Police 2
Farnborough 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Concord Rangers -
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St. Albans -
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Poole Town 5
Swindon Supermarine 0
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Chippenham Town -
Broadfields United 4
South Park 3
Harefield United 0
Hastings 4
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Spelthorne Sports 1
Bedfont Sports 3
Salisbury 0
Tiverton 2
Alton FC 1
Sholing 3
Colney Heath 0
Ware 4
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Sporting Khalsa 2
Gainsborough 1
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Kidderminster -
Hungerford -
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Truro 3
Exmouth Town 1
Cirencester 3
Easington Sports 0
Merthyr Town 0
Hamworthy United 2
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Bromley -
Welling -
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Harrow Borough 4
Ramsgate 2
Abbey Rangers 5
Chatham 0
Sheppey United 0
Marlow 1
Chelmsford -
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Little Oakley 2
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
Enfield Town 2
Dereham 1
Hadley 4
Enfield FC 3
Wealdstone -
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Dagenham & Red. -
Potton United 0
Sudbury 1
Stowmarket Town 2
Potters 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Hitchin 3
Brentwood 0
Cheshunt 2
Northwood 2
Chichester City 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Dartford -
TBD -
Hythe 1
Ascot United 0
Leek Town 0
Mickleover 2
Basford Utd. 1
Stourbridge 0
Nantwich 2
Grantham Town 0
Banbury 1
Ardley United 0
Highworth 3
Shaftesbury Town 5
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Bath City -
Frome Town 1
Mangotsfield 0
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Oxford City -
Barnet -
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Boreham Wood -
Yeovil -
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Weymouth -
Eastleigh -
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Ashford Town 2
Tilbury 1
Corinthian 2
Folkestone 3
Longlevens 2
Alresford Town 1
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Gloucester City -
Stortford 3
Lowestoft 0
Arlesey 0
Bowers & Pitsea 5
Hornchurch 5
Barton 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
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Aldershot -
Dover Ath. -
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Dorchester 1
Yate 3
Gosport Borough 2
Plymouth Parkway 1
Phoenix Sports 2
Chipstead 1
Redhill 5
Sevenoaks 4
Torquay -
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Beaconsfield Town 7
Walton & Hersham 4
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Braintree -
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Billericay -
Southend -
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Cray Wanderers 1
Sutton Common Rovers 3
Jersey Bulls 5
VCD Athletic 1
Erith & Belvedere 0
Chertsey Town 4
Uxbridge 3
Chesham 4
Quarter-finals
Atherton Collieries 3
Witton Albion 1
Marine 3
Warrington Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marske United 3
South Shields 0
Darlington FC 0
Chester 1
Runcorn Linnets 3
Bamber Bridge 1
Gateshead 6
Bradford PA 2
Curzon Ashton 4
Stockton 0
Cleethorpes 1
Alfreton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Hanley Town 2
Chasetown 1
Brackley 4
Coalville Town 2
Colne 0
Guiseley 1
Blyth Spartans 3
United of Manchester 1
Merstham 4
Margate 1
Lymington 2
Hereford 6
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Solihull Moors -
Squires Gate 2
Pontefract Collieries 3
Halesowen 1
Handsworth Parramore 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
York City 3
Hebburn Town 0
Prescot Cables 0
Whitby 3
Mossley AFC 1
Radcliffe 2
Morpeth 4
Lancaster 1
Leamington 3
Stone Old Alleynians 1
Spalding United 1
Kettering 3
City Of Liverpool 3
Farsley 0
Buxton 4
Rushall 0
Boston United 6
Corby 0
East Thurrock Utd 5
Needham Market 4
Stratford 4
Nuneaton 0
Bedworth United 1
Long Eaton 3
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barking 1
AFC Dunstable 3
Great Wakering 3
Peterborough Sports 5
Bromsgrove 6
Worksop 0
Bedford 1
Welwyn Garden 3
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TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
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Telford 1
Stamford 2
Norwich Utd 3
Mildenhall 2
AFC Fylde 1
Spennymoor 2
Chorley 2
Southport 3
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Altrincham -
Kings Langley 2
Leiston 4
Belper Town 0
Tamworth 5
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TBD -
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Aylesbury United 5
Bishops Cleeve 1
Carshalton 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Walton Casuals 0
Hampton & Richmond 3
Basingstoke 3
Wimborne 4
Kingstonian 1
Horsham FC 2
Hanwell Town 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Burgess Hill 0
Dorking Wanderers 4
Weston-super-Mare 5
Taunton Town 1
Hayes & Yeading 5
Tonbridge 0
Slough Town 1
Whitehawk 3
Leatherhead 0
Corinthian-Casuals 3
Wingate & Finchley 3
Baldock 0
Metropolitan Police 2
Farnborough 1
Concord Rangers 0
St. Albans 2
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Poole Town 1
Chippenham Town 2
Broadfields United 2
Hastings 3
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Tiverton 1
Sholing 3
Ware 3
Hemel Hempstead 2
Sporting Khalsa 1
Kidderminster 3
Hungerford 1
Truro 0
Cirencester 3
Hamworthy United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Welling 0
Harrow Borough 2
Abbey Rangers 0
Marlow 2
Chelmsford 2
Little Oakley 1
Enfield Town 3
Hadley 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Sudbury 1
Stowmarket Town 0
Hitchin 0
Cheshunt 3
Chichester City 1
Maidstone 3
Dartford 5
Hythe 1
Mickleover 1
Basford Utd. 3
Nantwich 1
Banbury 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Bath City 1
Frome Town 2
Oxford City 1
Barnet -
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TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Weymouth -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Ashford Town 2
Folkestone 7
Longlevens 1
Gloucester City 3
Stortford 0
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Hornchurch 4
Walthamstow FC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yate 2
Gosport Borough 0
Phoenix Sports 1
Redhill 3
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Braintree 1
Billericay 2
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton Common Rovers 4
Jersey Bulls 5
Chertsey Town 1
Chesham 0
Semi-finals
Atherton Collieries 2
Marine 3
TBD -
Wrexham -
Marske United 4
Chester 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Gateshead 3
Curzon Ashton 4
Cleethorpes 0
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Hanley Town 1
Brackley 2
Guiseley 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Merstham 0
Hereford 2
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Pontefract Collieries 6
Handsworth Parramore 0
TBD -
Halifax -
York City 2
Whitby 0
Radcliffe 1
Morpeth 3
Leamington 3
Kettering 5
City Of Liverpool 1
Buxton 6
Boston United 4
East Thurrock Utd 0
Stratford 3
Long Eaton 2
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Bromsgrove 1
Welwyn Garden 0
TBD -
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford 2
Norwich Utd 1
Spennymoor 2
Southport 3
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leiston 1
Tamworth 3
TBD -
Notts County -
Aylesbury United 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Hampton & Richmond 3
Wimborne 1
Horsham FC 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
Woking -
Dorking Wanderers 1
Weston-super-Mare 0
Hayes & Yeading 3
Whitehawk 2
Corinthian-Casuals 4
Wingate & Finchley 1
Metropolitan Police 1
St. Albans 3
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Hastings 1
Bedfont Sports 5
Sholing 4
Ware 1
Kidderminster 4
Hungerford 3
Cirencester 2
TBD -
Bromley -
Harrow Borough 2
Marlow 1
Chelmsford 1
Enfield Town 0
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Sudbury 1
Cheshunt 0
Maidstone 0
Dartford 3
Basford Utd. 0
Banbury 1
Bath City 5
Frome Town 0
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
Gloucester City 0
Bowers & Pitsea 4
Hornchurch 2
TBD -
Aldershot -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Yate 3
Redhill 0
Torquay -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Billericay 2
Southend -
TBD -
Jersey Bulls 0
Chertsey Town 1
Final
Marine 1
Wrexham 3
Marske United 2
Gateshead 3
Curzon Ashton 0
Chesterfield 4
Brackley 2
Guiseley 3
Hereford 0
Solihull Moors 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Halifax 1
York City 4
Morpeth 2
Kettering 3
Buxton 5
Boston United 3
Stratford 4
King’s Lynn 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Bromsgrove 0
Grimsby 5
Stockport County 3
Stamford 0
Southport 2
Altrincham 3
Tamworth 0
Notts County 4
Ebbsfleet 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
Horsham FC 1
Woking 0
Dorking Wanderers 4
Hayes & Yeading 5
Corinthian-Casuals 2
St. Albans 3
Maidenhead 3
Hastings 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Kidderminster 1
Hungerford 1
Bromley 2
Harrow Borough 4
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Sudbury 3
Dartford 1
Banbury 1
Bath City 0
Barnet 0
Boreham Wood 1
Yeovil 3
Weymouth 2
Eastleigh 6
Folkestone 5
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Aldershot 1
Dover Ath. 1
Yate 2
Torquay 4
Havant & Waterlooville 6
Southend 4
Chertsey Town 1