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Aylesbury Vale vs Molesey Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Aylesbury Vale advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aylesbury Vale
15%
Draws
85%
Molesey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molesey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Molesey's 2.27 goals per match outpaces what Aylesbury Vale have produced (1.14).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aylesbury Vale, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aylesbury Vale Clean Sheet 11%
Molesey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aylesbury Vale Molesey
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 0
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.14 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2017 FA Trophy
Aylesbury Vale vs Molesey
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury Vale 30 / 100
Molesey 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aylesbury Vale Molesey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molesey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Molesey conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aylesbury Vale scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Molesey's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aylesbury Vale VS Molesey
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

(Home)
30 Aug
Aylesbury Vale
1 : 3
St. Albans
31 Aug
Aylesbury Vale
0 : 3
Bognor Regis
03 Sept
Yate
4 : 3
Aylesbury Vale
26 Jul
Thame United
3 : 0
Aylesbury Vale
12 Jul
Aylesbury Vale
0 : 2
AFC Dunstable
Page 1 of 6

Molesey

(Away)
26 Jul
Molesey
1 : 3
Metropolitan Police
29 Jul
Molesey
1 : 4
Metropolitan Police
27 Oct
Molesey
0 : 1
Walton Casuals
13 Oct
Three Bridges
0 : 1
Molesey
14 Jul
Molesey
2 : 3
Harrow Borough
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Lancaster -
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Skelmersdale 1
Mossley AFC 3
Bedworth United 1
Gresley 0
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Stratford -
Newcastle Town 3
Soham 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Alvechurch 2
Belper Town 1
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Coalville Town -
Warrington Town -
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Brighouse Town 2
Bamber Bridge 4
Frickley 3
Sheffield FC 0
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Ashton United -
Altrincham -
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Colne 0
Clitheroe 3
Shaw Lane -
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Colwyn Bay 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Prescot Cables 3
Trafford 1
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Stalybridge -
Nantwich -
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Rushall -
Glossop North End 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
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Matlock -
Kettering -
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Lincoln Utd. 1
Leek Town 4
Stamford 3
Loughborough Dynamo 0
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Sutton Coldfield Town -
Ossett Town 3
Goole 0
Ossett Albion 2
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Market Drayton 0
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Spalding United -
Witton Albion -
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Workington -
Hednesford -
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Mickleover -
Buxton -
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Hyde 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Stocksbridge 1
Radcliffe 1
Kendal 2
Whitby -
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Marine -
Neots -
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Romulus 0
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 3
Peterborough Sports 0
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Stourbridge -
Barwell -
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Carlton Town -
King’s Lynn -
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Mildenhall -
Stafford -
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St Ives Town -
Farsley -
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Scarborough Athletic 2
South Shields 5
Chesham -
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Barton 1
Hayes & Yeading 3
Cheshunt 3
Herne Bay 0
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Hitchin -
Taunton Town 3
AFC Totton 2
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Merthyr Town -
Barking 3
Chipstead 2
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Beaconsfield Town -
Brentwood 10
South Park 5
VCD Athletic 0
Bedford 1
Arlesey -
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Needham Market -
Hereford -
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Weymouth -
FC Witham Town -
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Tilbury 0
Potters 4
Corinthian-Casuals 2
AFC Dunstable 0
Guernsey FC -
Hertford Town -
Biggleswade Town -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Lewes 4
East Grinstead Town 2
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Dunstable Town -
Stortford -
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Greenwich Borough 0
Hanwell Town 1
Dorchester -
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Basingstoke -
Tonbridge -
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Carshalton 0
Heybridge 2
Aylesbury Vale 4
Molesey 3
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Harlow -
Waltham Abbey 2
Faversham 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Hendon -
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Kings Langley -
Aveley 5
Marlow 3
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Burgess Hill -
Ashford Town 4
Uxbridge 1
Romford 0
Hastings 1
Kingstonian -
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Thurrock -
Maldon & Tiptree 5
Northwood 2
Canvey Island 0
Walton Casuals 3
Kidlington 3
Winchester City 1
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Slough Town -
Sittingbourne 3
Ashford United 0
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Merstham -
Harrow Borough -
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Whyteleafe 0
Haringey Borough 3
Thamesmead 3
Hornchurch 2
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Brightlingsea -
Sudbury 4
Aylesbury United 3
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Metropolitan Police -
Royston Town -
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Enfield Town -
Hythe 1
Kempston 0
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Leatherhead -
Hartley Wintney 1
Slimbridge 0
Barnstaple Town 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Bristol Manor Farm 4
Cinderford Town 1
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Gosport Borough -
Farnborough -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Larkhall 1
Tiverton -
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Banbury -
Paulton Rovers 3
Salisbury 2
Evesham 2
Cirencester 3
Frome Town -
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Didcot 0
Shortwood 1
Margate -
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Staines -
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Dereham 3
Shoreham 1
Egham Town 7
Billericay -
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Tooting & Mitcham -
Bury Town 5
Ramsgate 3
Phoenix Sports 0
Chalfont St Peter 3
Dorking Wanderers -
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Ware -
Leiston -
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Folkestone -
Moneyfields 4
Bideford 2
Fleet Town 2
Yate 3
Cray Wanderers 8
Horsham FC 0
Norwich Utd 3
Grays 4
Thame United 1
Mangotsfield 0
North Leigh 1
Wimborne 3
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Semi-finals
Lancaster 1
Mossley AFC 0
Bedworth United 1
Stratford 2
Newcastle Town 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 4
Halesowen 0
Grantham Town 1
Alvechurch 2
Cambridge City 0
Redditch 0
Coalville Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Frickley 1
Ashton United 4
Altrincham 3
Clitheroe 0
Shaw Lane 3
Ramsbottom Utd 6
Prescot Cables 1
Stalybridge 5
Nantwich 0
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 3
Matlock 2
Kettering 2
Leek Town 3
Stamford 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Droylsden 3
Chasetown 2
Spalding United 1
Witton Albion 0
Workington 4
Hednesford 1
Mickleover 0
Buxton 1
Cleethorpes 2
Atherton Collieries 4
Kendal 2
Whitby 1
Marine 3
Neots 3
Corby 2
Basford Utd. 0
Stourbridge 1
Barwell 1
Carlton Town 0
King’s Lynn 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 6
St Ives Town 0
Farsley 4
South Shields 5
Chesham 3
Hayes & Yeading 0
Cheshunt 0
Hitchin 5
Taunton Town 2
Merthyr Town 1
Barking 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 4
Bedford 2
Arlesey 1
Needham Market 3
Hereford 4
Weymouth 1
FC Witham Town 0
Potters 3
Corinthian-Casuals 3
Hertford Town 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Lewes 4
Dunstable Town 1
Stortford 4
Hanwell Town 0
Dorchester 2
Basingstoke 1
Tonbridge 4
Heybridge 5
Aylesbury Vale 2
Harlow 4
Waltham Abbey 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Hendon 3
Kings Langley 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford Town 4
Hastings 3
Kingstonian 7
Thurrock 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Walton Casuals 0
Kidlington 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 3
Merstham 1
Harrow Borough 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 3
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Hythe 0
Leatherhead 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Bristol Manor Farm 0
Gosport Borough 1
Farnborough 3
Larkhall 1
Tiverton 4
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 6
Cirencester 2
Frome Town 0
Shortwood 2
Margate 3
Staines 0
Bowers & Pitsea 6
Egham Town 4
Billericay 3
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bury Town 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Dorking Wanderers 5
Ware 0
Leiston 3
Folkestone 2
Moneyfields 1
Yate 0
Cray Wanderers 4
Grays 2
Thame United 5
Wimborne 0
Lowestoft 0
Worthing FC 3
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Final
Lancaster 3
Stratford 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Grantham Town 2
Alvechurch 1
Coalville Town 5
Warrington Town 4
Ashton United 3
Altrincham 4
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Stalybridge 3
Rushall 2
Glossop North End 4
Leek Town 3
Stamford 1
Droylsden 2
Chasetown 1
Workington 3
Hednesford 2
Cleethorpes 3
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 5
Neots 2
Stourbridge 3
Barwell 0
Mildenhall 1
Stafford 3
South Shields 1
Chesham 3
Hitchin 1
Taunton Town 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Brentwood 3
Needham Market 1
Hereford 2
Potters 1
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
Lewes 2
Stortford 0
Dorchester 1
Heybridge 2
Harlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hendon 3
Burgess Hill 0
Ashford Town 2
Kingstonian 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Slough Town 4
Sittingbourne 1
Haringey Borough 2
Thamesmead 0
Metropolitan Police 1
Royston Town 3
Leatherhead 2
Hartley Wintney 3
Gosport Borough 0
Farnborough 6
Banbury 5
Paulton Rovers 1
Shortwood 2
Margate 2
Egham Town 0
Billericay 6
Bury Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
Leiston 1
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 5
Thame United 1
Worthing FC 0
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