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Aylesbury Vale vs St. Albans

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with St. Albans advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aylesbury Vale
20%
Draws
80%
St. Albans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Albans come out ahead of Aylesbury Vale on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on St. Albans taking it.
  • St. Albans arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Albans, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aylesbury Vale Clean Sheet 14%
St. Albans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aylesbury Vale St. Albans
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Aylesbury Vale vs St. Albans
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury Vale 10 / 100
St. Albans 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aylesbury Vale St. Albans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Albans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aylesbury Vale scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

St. Albans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Albans
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

(Home)
30 Aug
Aylesbury Vale
1 : 3
St. Albans
31 Aug
Aylesbury Vale
0 : 3
Bognor Regis
03 Sept
Yate
4 : 3
Aylesbury Vale
26 Jul
Thame United
3 : 0
Aylesbury Vale
12 Jul
Aylesbury Vale
0 : 2
AFC Dunstable
Page 1 of 6

St. Albans

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Witham Town
0 : 3
St. Albans
15 Sept
Cray Wanderers
3 : 3
St. Albans
12 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 0
Three Bridges
08 Sept
Hashtag
0 : 2
St. Albans
05 Sept
St. Albans
0 : 0
Hashtag
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Warrington Town 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Silsden 2
Bootle 4
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Racing Club Warwick 2
Evesham 5
Bromsgrove 2
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Atherton Rovers 5
Atherton Collieries 2
Avro 1
Nantwich 3
Trafford 2
Stockton 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 5
Abbey Hulton 4
Hanley Town 0
Stourbridge 2
Bourne 1
Shepshed 2
Stamford 1
Coventry Sphinx 0
Kendal 0
Dunston 1
Wombwell Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Corby 1
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 5
Atherstone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
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Boston United -
Rochdale -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 5
Redcar Athletic 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Hallam 2
Ashton United 4
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Newcastle Blue Star 1
Heaton Stannington 0
TBD -
Marine -
Buxton -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Skegness Town 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Stalybridge 3
TBD -
Chester -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Hebburn Town 1
Longridge Town 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 4
Widnes FC -
FC Congleton Town -
TBD -
Chorley -
Ilkeston 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 3
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 1
Whitby 2
Matlock 4
Bottesford Town 1
Carlton Town 3
Cleethorpes 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redbridge 1
Royston Town 2
Brentwood 2
Leighton Town 1
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Eastwood Community FC 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 4
Stratford 1
Sudbury 4
Mildenhall 0
Aveley 3
Hashtag 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 3
Wythenshawe FC 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Rossington Main 0
United of Manchester 4
Bishop Auckland 1
Chadderton 3
Coleshill Town 2
Worcester Raiders 1
Hednesford 3
Basford Utd. 1
Billericay 4
Barton 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
St Ives Town 0
Morpeth 2
Pontefract Collieries 1
Witton Albion 6
Shildon 3
Radcliffe -
TBD -
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Southport -
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Halifax -
Altrincham -
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Harborough 3
Leek Town 0
TBD -
Worksop -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 5
TBD -
Bath City -
Burnham FC 0
Jersey Bulls 3
TBD -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Waltham Abbey 3
March Town 1
Gorleston 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Canvey Island 0
Stanway Rovers 2
Cockfosters 1
Soul Tower Hamlets 4
Ascot United 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Lewes 1
Bracknell Town 4
Dartford 2
Tadley Calleva 4
Weymouth 2
Woking -
TBD -
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Brackley -
Wealdstone -
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Dulwich Hamlet 2
Whitstable Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
AFC Stoneham 0
Tavistock 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Cray Wanderers 2
Hanwell Town 3
Bedfont Sports 4
Littlehampton 3
Uxbridge 1
Welling 2
TBD -
Slough Town -
Enfield FC 3
Ilford 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Quorn 8
Sherwood Colliery 0
Long Eaton 1
Kettering 4
Winchester City 0
Fareham 1
Fairford 0
Sholing 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Epsom 2
Risborough Rangers 1
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Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town -
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Royal Wootton 1
Torpoint 3
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
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TBD -
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Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
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Westfield 2
Sheppey United 0
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Folkestone 3
Sevenoaks 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Ashford Town 3
Whyteleafe 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Faversham 5
Hastings 2
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Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
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Westbury United 5
Yate 4
TBD -
Oxford City -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chertsey Town 2
Thame United 1
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 2
Steyning Town 5
Lancing 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Raynes Park Vale 0
Ashford United 2
Chatham 4
Marlow 0
Deal Town 2
Cobham 0
Beckenham Town 2
Egham Town 3
Gosport Borough 2
Basingstoke 1
Didcot 2
Poole Town 3
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 4
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Needham Market 4
Tilbury 2
Eynesbury Rovers 3
Arlesey 1
Histon 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Lowestoft 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Real Bedford 1
Stortford 2
Boston Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 3
TBD -
Hereford -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cheshunt 1
Leiston 2
Knaphill 1
Hackney Wick 2
Worcester 3
Chasetown 4
Mangotsfield 0
Banbury 1
Brightlingsea 2
Bury Town 3
Newmarket 2
Woodford Town 3
Potters 2
Hitchin 4
Aylesbury Vale 1
St. Albans 3
Alvechurch 4
Barwell 2
TBD -
Leamington -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hertford Town 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Whitehawk 4
Three Bridges 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 3
Portchester 1
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
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Torquay -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Exmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Frome Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Truro -
Salisbury -
TBD -
Hythe & Dibden 1
Laverstock & Ford 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
Carshalton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Wokingham Town FC 1
Burgess Hill 5
Erith Town 0
Farnham 3
Falmouth Town 0
Brixham 5
Slimbridge 0
Dorchester 1
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Quarter-finals
AFC Fylde 4
Bamber Bridge 1
Bootle 1
Darlington FC 3
Telford 3
Kidderminster 1
Racing Club Warwick 3
Evesham 4
Macclesfield 3
Atherton Rovers 0
Nantwich 3
Trafford 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Stourbridge 1
Shepshed 0
Stamford 2
Dunston 1
Stocksbridge 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
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York City -
Pickering Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ashton United 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Newcastle Blue Star 0
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Redditch 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 1
Chester 2
Curzon Ashton 4
Hebburn Town 1
South Shields 2
Guiseley 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Chorley 1
Spalding United 3
Alfreton 0
Bedford 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Whitby 0
Matlock 3
Carlton Town 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Brentwood 0
Chesham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 7
Sudbury 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 0
Spennymoor 1
United of Manchester 0
Chadderton 1
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 7
Billericay 3
Berkhamsted Town 0
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 3
Southport 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Worksop 2
Peterborough Sports 2
Hornchurch 1
Wimborne 2
Bath City 1
Jersey Bulls 2
Worthing FC 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Gorleston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Stanway Rovers 0
Soul Tower Hamlets 0
Flackwell Heath 2
Bracknell Town 2
Tadley Calleva 0
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Hanwell Town 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Welling 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield FC 0
Enfield Town 3
Quorn 2
Kettering 1
Fareham 0
Sholing 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 4
Torpoint 0
Hampton & Richmond 4
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Horsham FC 8
Folkestone 2
Maidstone 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Ashford Town 0
Maidenhead 0
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 3
Oxford City 2
Farnborough 4
Dover Ath. 1
Chertsey Town 2
Cray Valley 3
Steyning Town 3
Tonbridge 8
Ashford United 0
Chatham 3
Deal Town 2
Egham Town 1
Gosport Borough 0
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Needham Market 4
Eynesbury Rovers 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
FC Witham Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Stortford 1
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hereford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 4
Hackney Wick 1
Chasetown 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
Woodford Town 2
Hitchin 1
St. Albans 2
Alvechurch 3
Leamington 0
Chelmsford 6
Hertford Town 0
Whitehawk 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 2
Torquay 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 4
Laverstock & Ford 1
Dorking Wanderers 7
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Burgess Hill 1
Farnham 3
Brixham 1
Dorchester 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Semi-finals
AFC Fylde 3
Darlington FC 5
Telford 4
Evesham 1
Macclesfield 2
Nantwich 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stamford 1
Dunston 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Runcorn Linnets 3
Ashton United 2
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Morecambe -
TBD -
Chester 5
Curzon Ashton 1
South Shields 4
Chorley 1
Spalding United 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Hyde 1
Matlock 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
King’s Lynn 5
Halesowen 0
Aveley 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Spennymoor 3
Chadderton 0
Hednesford 0
Billericay 2
Morpeth 1
Southport 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Harborough 4
Peterborough Sports 1
Wimborne 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Flackwell Heath 4
Bracknell Town 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Hungerford 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield Town 5
Quorn 1
Sholing 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Folkestone 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
Westbury United 0
Farnborough 1
Cray Valley 0
Tonbridge 5
Chatham 3
Deal Town 1
Poole Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Needham Market 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 5
Hereford 2
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 0
Banbury 3
Woodford Town 0
St. Albans 1
Alvechurch 1
Chelmsford 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Frome Town 2
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 3
Dorking Wanderers 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Farnham 3
Dorchester 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Final
Darlington FC 0
Telford 6
Macclesfield 1
Stamford 0
Gainsborough 4
Hartlepool 2
Carlisle 5
Boston United 2
Rochdale 1
York City 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
Buxton 1
Morecambe 1
Chester 3
South Shields 4
Spalding United 0
Tamworth 1
Hyde 0
Scunthorpe 4
King’s Lynn 2
Aveley 0
Gateshead 3
Spennymoor 1
Billericay 0
Southport 1
Halifax 3
Altrincham 5
Harborough 2
Worthing FC 1
Forest Green 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Woking 3
Brackley 7
Wealdstone 5
Whitstable Town 1
Slough Town 3
Enfield Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Eastleigh 2
Southend 4
Folkestone 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Solihull Moors 0
Braintree 2
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Chatham 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Needham Market 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Yeovil 1
Banbury 1
St. Albans 2
Chelmsford 4
Chippenham Town 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
Aldershot 3
Farnham 5
Sutton 6