Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aylesbury Vale vs Ware

England England

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ware in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aylesbury Vale
15%
Draws
85%
Ware
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ware

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ware lately — more wins on the board than Aylesbury Vale.
  • Ware are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Ware arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ware, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aylesbury Vale Clean Sheet 12%
Ware Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aylesbury Vale Ware
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2016 FA Trophy
Aylesbury Vale vs Ware
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aylesbury Vale 22 / 100
Ware 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aylesbury Vale Ware

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ware Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ware let in goals in 88% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aylesbury Vale scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ware lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aylesbury Vale VS Ware
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aylesbury Vale

(Home)
30 Aug
Aylesbury Vale
1 : 3
St. Albans
31 Aug
Aylesbury Vale
0 : 3
Bognor Regis
03 Sept
Yate
4 : 3
Aylesbury Vale
26 Jul
Thame United
3 : 0
Aylesbury Vale
12 Jul
Aylesbury Vale
0 : 2
AFC Dunstable
Page 1 of 6

Ware

(Away)
29 Aug
Ware
2 : 1
Brightlingsea
14 Jul
Ware
2 : 4
Hendon
07 Jul
Ware
1 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
06 Sept
Ware
1 : 5
Hadley
22 Jul
Ware
3 : 1
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Skelmersdale -
TBD -
Burscough 1
Kendal 2
Goole 2
Belper Town 1
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Buxton -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 0
Glossop North End 2
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Bedworth United 5
Rugby 3
TBD -
Neots -
Hednesford -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 0
Stamford 1
Corby -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
Chasetown 1
Carlton Town 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
TBD -
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
TBD -
Frickley -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett Albion 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cambridge City -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Kidsgrove Athletic -
TBD -
Newcastle Town 1
Soham 3
Lancaster 4
Droylsden 2
Clitheroe 0
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Mossley AFC 4
Northwich Victoria 3
Radcliffe 1
Farsley 3
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Trafford 2
Colne 1
Ossett Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7
Histon 2
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Gresley 4
Spalding United 1
Romulus 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Colwyn Bay 1
Hyde 0
Brighouse Town 2
Witton Albion 5
Market Drayton -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
Heybridge -
Canvey Island -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Didcot 0
TBD -
Banbury -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Slimbridge 1
Larkhall 2
Taunton Town 6
Dunstable Town -
TBD -
Norwich Utd 0
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 3
Kidlington 2
TBD -
Weymouth -
Dorchester -
TBD -
Farnborough 1
Barnstaple Town 5
Staines -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Cirencester -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Great Wakering 1
TBD -
Billericay -
Brightlingsea 2
Dereham 1
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Uxbridge 4
AFC Dunstable 0
TBD -
Harlow -
Hanwell Town 4
Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 0
Bury Town 2
Evesham 1
Shortwood 0
TBD -
Frome Town -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hereford 3
Salisbury 4
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiston -
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
TBD -
Lowestoft -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesham -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
Waltham Abbey -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Hythe 2
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Thamesmead 1
Arlesey 2
Chalfont St Peter 8
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
Aveley 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Folkestone -
TBD -
Whyteleafe 1
Cheshunt 3
Yate 2
Mangotsfield 0
Bridgwater United 3
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 3
Egham Town 0
Dorking Wanderers 3
Northwood 6
Tiverton 6
Paulton Rovers 1
AFC Totton 3
Wimborne 4
Needham Market -
TBD -
Godalming Town 0
Wroxham 3
Herne Bay 1
Barton 0
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Cray Wanderers 6
Carshalton 3
Brentwood 1
Marlow 2
Kempston 5
Chipstead 3
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Phoenix Sports -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
East Grinstead Town 4
Fleet Town 2
Bideford 1
Petersfield 2
Winchester City 4
Hastings 3
Ramsgate 0
Chatham 1
Aylesbury United 4
Faversham -
TBD -
Guernsey FC 0
South Park 2
Sudbury -
TBD -
Thurrock 1
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Horsham FC 2
Potters 0
Molesey 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian -
TBD -
Tilbury 1
Lewes 4
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
Ashford Town 3
Ware 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Greenwich Borough 2
VCD Athletic 3
Grays -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Nantwich 2
Warrington Town 0
Skelmersdale 1
Kendal 3
Goole 2
Blyth Spartans 8
Rushall 1
Halesowen 2
Buxton 2
Glossop North End 0
Stourbridge 1
King’s Lynn 2
Marine 4
Ashton United 0
Bedworth United 2
Neots 3
Hednesford 4
Stamford 1
Corby 0
Stafford 2
St Ives Town 4
Carlton Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 6
Frickley 2
Workington 3
Whitby 4
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Prescot Cables 1
Cambridge City 1
Redditch 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Soham 3
Lancaster 1
Stocksbridge 2
Barwell 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
Mossley AFC 1
Farsley 3
Stratford 2
Grantham Town 6
Spennymoor 1
Matlock 2
Trafford 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Coalville Town 0
Gresley 2
Lincoln Utd. 4
Colwyn Bay 2
Witton Albion 4
Market Drayton 1
Kettering 5
Kings Langley 1
Heybridge 0
Canvey Island 2
Enfield Town 3
Bishops Cleeve 1
Banbury 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Taunton Town 5
Dunstable Town 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 0
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 3
Barnstaple Town 1
Staines 1
Basingstoke 4
Merthyr Town 6
Cinderford Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Cirencester 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Billericay 2
Brightlingsea 6
Metropolitan Police 2
Uxbridge 0
Harlow 1
Hanwell Town 2
Bury Town 1
Evesham 1
Frome Town 2
Chippenham Town 3
Salisbury 2
Hendon 0
Leiston 5
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Lowestoft 1
Leatherhead 2
Chesham 3
Merstham 5
Waltham Abbey 0
Walton Casuals 2
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 5
Beaconsfield Town 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 1
FC Witham Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Hitchin 1
Folkestone 3
Cheshunt 1
Yate 1
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 6
Northwood 3
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
Needham Market 2
Wroxham 0
Herne Bay 2
Harrow Borough 5
Cray Wanderers 4
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Worthing FC 3
Phoenix Sports 3
East Grinstead Town 2
Fleet Town 1
Winchester City 2
Hastings 4
Aylesbury United 0
Faversham 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Horsham FC 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian 2
Lewes 1
Tonbridge 7
Ashford Town 4
Ware 3
VCD Athletic 1
Grays 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Nantwich 2
Kendal 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Halesowen 3
Buxton 1
King’s Lynn 3
Marine 5
Neots 3
Hednesford 2
Stafford 3
St Ives Town 2
Leek Town 1
Shaw Lane 3
Whitby 0
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Redditch 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell 2
Farsley 3
Grantham Town 0
Matlock 2
Trafford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Witton Albion 2
Kettering 1
Kings Langley 1
Enfield Town 0
Bishops Cleeve 0
Taunton Town 1
Dunstable Town 1
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 0
Basingstoke 3
Merthyr Town 2
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Billericay 0
Brightlingsea 2
Harlow 3
Hanwell Town 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 0
Leiston 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Chesham 0
Merstham 0
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 4
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 3
Hitchin 4
Folkestone 2
North Leigh 3
Royston Town 4
Wimborne 0
Needham Market 1
Harrow Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Worthing FC 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Winchester City 3
Hastings 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Romford 0
Kingstonian 3
Tonbridge 2
Ware 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -