Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayr vs Edinburgh City

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Somerset Park
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayr host Edinburgh City in the League Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ayr have averaged 1.75 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Edinburgh City's 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Ayr have won 3 to Edinburgh City's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.25) point toward Ayr. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ayr
6%
Draws
4%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayr have won more games recently than Edinburgh City.
  • Model gives Ayr a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ayr have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ayr Clean Sheet 19%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Edinburgh City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2021 League Cup
Ayr vs Edinburgh City
3:0
Jul 23, 2016 League Cup
Ayr vs Edinburgh City
1:0
Dec 11, 2004 Scottish Cup
Ayr vs Edinburgh City
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 85 / 100
Edinburgh City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Edinburgh City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Edinburgh City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Ayr went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ayr's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Edinburgh City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

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