Sport Picks
Ayr vs Dunfermline
Scotland
Championship Somerset Park, Ayr 
AI Match Summary
Ayr host Dunfermline in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ayr at 1.31 goals for, 1.31 against; Dunfermline at 1.36 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Ayr have won 2 to Dunfermline's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Dunfermline to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Dunfermline lately — more wins on the board than Ayr.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayr | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ayr scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Dunfermline let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.
Ayr has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ayr
(Home)Dunfermline
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Raith | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Livingston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayr | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Inverness | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | 1 |
