Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayr vs Inverness

Scotland Scotland

Championship Somerset Park, Ayr
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayr host Inverness in the Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Inverness have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Ayr have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Ayr have won 2 to Inverness's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.31 - 0.94) back Inverness to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ayr
30%
Draws
37%
Inverness
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ayr haven't matched Inverness's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ayr's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Inverness Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Inverness
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.39 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Challenge Cup
Ayr vs Inverness
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Ayr
1:2
Jan 6, 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Inverness
1:3
Nov 11, 2023 Championship
Inverness vs Ayr
3:1
Aug 12, 2023 Championship
Ayr vs Inverness
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 40 / 100
Inverness 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Inverness

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Inverness conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ayr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Inverness
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
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Inverness

(Away)
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0
Inverness
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1
Inverness
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
Inverness
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Partick 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Ayr 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Stenhousemuir 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Raith 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Livingston 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Dunfermline 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
7 Inverness 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
8 Arbroath 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 Queen's Park 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Morton 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)