Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayr vs Partick

Scotland Scotland

Championship Somerset Park, Ayr
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayr host Partick in the Championship. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ayr at 1.31 goals for, 1.31 against; Partick at 1.34 for, 0.72 against. Past meetings favor Partick slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.13) point toward Partick. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ayr
35%
Draws
39%
Partick
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Partick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Partick average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Ayr's 1.31.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ayr Clean Sheet 20%
Partick Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayr Partick
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 13
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Partick vs Ayr
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Partick
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Partick vs Ayr
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Partick
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Championship
Partick vs Ayr
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr 32 / 100
Partick 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayr Partick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Partick let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ayr stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayr VS Partick
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayr

(Home)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
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Partick

(Away)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)