Sport Picks
Ayr vs Stenhousemuir
Scotland
Championship Somerset Park, Ayr 
AI Match Summary
Ayr host Stenhousemuir in the Championship. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ayr at 1.4 goals for, 1.37 against; Stenhousemuir at 1.52 for, 0.71 against. Past meetings favor Ayr slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2024, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.38, favoring Stenhousemuir. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Ayr on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Stenhousemuir taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ayr have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayr | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ayr's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Ayr remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ayr
(Home)Stenhousemuir
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Raith | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Livingston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayr | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Inverness | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | 1 |
