Sport Picks

Scotland

SWPL Cup Women 2024/2025 Somerset Park

Livingston W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ayr W play Livingston W in the SWPL Cup Women 2024/2025. Ayr W are favorites here. Recently, Ayr W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. Livingston W averaged 2.29 goals scored and 4 conceded. In past meetings, Ayr W won 0, Livingston W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 1, 2024 ended 3:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Ayr W and 3.40 for Livingston W. This points to a Ayr W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Ayr W

25%

Draws

15%

Livingston W

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ayr W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Ayr W picked up more points recently compared to Livingston W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 3.40 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 54%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Ayr W Clean Sheet 10%

Livingston W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ayr W	Livingston W
Matches Played	2	7
Wins	0	3
Draws	0	0
Losses	2	4
Goals Scored	1.5	2.29
Goals Conceded	4.5	4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.50	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 SWPL Cup Women

Ayr W vs Livingston W

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

3:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayr W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baird D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Duthie C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Livingston W Compare

Top Goalscorer Canavan K.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Murphy J. C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.08

Avg xA / game 1.27

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayr W 56 / 100

Livingston W 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ayr W Livingston W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Ayr W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.1%

1.19

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ayr W attacking → ← attacking Livingston W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr W scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Livingston W let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Ayr W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Livingston W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 9

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.29

4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00