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Ayutthaya United vs Kanchanaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
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Match Events

6' Event
Mara M.
(Penalty)
18'
Phuthawchueak K.
43'
Wellington Priori

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Ayutthaya United and Kanchanaburi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kanchanaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ayutthaya United
6%
Draws
90%
Kanchanaburi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kanchanaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kanchanaburi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 20%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Kanchanaburi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Kanchanaburi
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Ayutthaya United
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Thai League 2
Kanchanaburi vs Ayutthaya United
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Kanchanaburi
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Kanchanaburi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Kanchanaburi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Kanchanaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ayutthaya United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Kanchanaburi conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Kanchanaburi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Kanchanaburi
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
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Kanchanaburi

(Away)
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
02 May
Kanchanaburi
2 : 2
Chonburi
26 Apr
Kanchanaburi
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
04 Apr
Kanchanaburi
0 : 2
Pathum United
21 Mar
Rayong FC
2 : 1
Kanchanaburi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)