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Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayutthaya United host Lamphun Warrior in the Thai League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ayutthaya United at 1.17 goals for, 1.48 against; Lamphun Warrior at 1.07 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Ayutthaya United have won 0 to Lamphun Warrior's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Lamphun Warrior. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ayutthaya United
30%
Draws
16%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayutthaya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ayutthaya United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 12%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 14
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1
Apr 9, 2022 Thai League 2
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 47 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayutthaya United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayutthaya United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lamphun Warrior conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Ayutthaya United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Lamphun Warrior
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Uthai Thani 4 3 0 1 11:6 9
3 Ratchaburi 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Rayong FC 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
5 Ayutthaya United 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
7 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
8 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
9 Pathum United 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Sukhothai 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
14 Rasisalai United 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)