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Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hwang Hyun-Soo
Assist: Mita H.
10'
Willen Mota
40'
Bruno Mendes

AI Match Summary

Ayutthaya United in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayutthaya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ayutthaya United
15%
Draws
46%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ratchaburi lately — more wins on the board than Ayutthaya United.
  • Win probability leans Ratchaburi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ayutthaya United have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Ratchaburi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Ayutthaya United
1:2
Feb 25, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Ratchaburi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang Hyun-Soo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ewerton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Suengchitthawon T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Ratchaburi 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ayutthaya United scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Ayutthaya United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Ratchaburi
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
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Ratchaburi

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)