Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayutthaya United host Uthai Thani in the Thai League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ayutthaya United have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Uthai Thani's 0.75 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Uthai Thani slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.06) back Ayutthaya United to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ayutthaya United
6%
Draws
90%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayutthaya United come out ahead of Uthai Thani on wins alone.
  • Model gives Uthai Thani a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 20%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Uthai Thani
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Ayutthaya United
1:4
Mar 29, 2023 Thai League 2
Uthai Thani vs Ayutthaya United
3:2
Nov 19, 2022 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani
1:1
Mar 10, 2021 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Uthai Thani 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayutthaya United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Uthai Thani let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Uthai Thani lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Uthai Thani
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
26 Apr
Ayutthaya United
1 : 3
Prachuap
12 Apr
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 0
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7

Uthai Thani

(Away)
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Prachuap
2 : 0
Uthai Thani
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.00000:00
2Pathum United00000:00
3Bangkok Utd00000:00
4Chonburi00000:00
5Port MTI FC00000:00
6Chiangrai Utd00000:00
7Ratchaburi00000:00
8Ayutthaya United00000:00
9Prachuap00000:00
10Sukhothai00000:00
11Lamphun Warrior00000:00
12Pattani00000:00
13Uthai Thani00000:00
14Rayong FC00000:00
15Rasisalai United00000:00
16Sisaket United00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)