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Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Ayutthaya Province Stadium, Ayutthaya
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Match Events

24'
Sub
Mita H. In: Jantawong P.
Out: Mita H.
32'
Willen Mota
34'
Changthong A.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 game between Ayutthaya United and Uthai Thani finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uthai Thani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ayutthaya United
15%
Draws
51%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Uthai Thani are scoring more at 1.6.
  • Model gives Uthai Thani a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayutthaya United Uthai Thani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Ayutthaya United
1:4
Mar 29, 2023 Thai League 2
Uthai Thani vs Ayutthaya United
3:2
Nov 19, 2022 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Uthai Thani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Brito D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Uthai Thani Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chatthong S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
Uthai Thani 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayutthaya United Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ayutthaya United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Uthai Thani conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Ayutthaya United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayutthaya United VS Uthai Thani
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayutthaya United

(Home)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Sisaket United
0 : 1
Ayutthaya United
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
23 Aug
Ayutthaya United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
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Uthai Thani

(Away)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)