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Stadium Background

Ayvalikgucu vs Bucaspor 1928 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ozcan U.
Assist: Meral B. M.
75' Event
Gurler B.
90' Event
Caner O.

AI Match Summary

Ayvalikgucu in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ayvalikgucu
20%
Draws
22%
Bucaspor 1928
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu have won more games recently than Bucaspor 1928.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Bucaspor 1928
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.65 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Ayvalikgucu vs Bucaspor 1928
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcan U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gurler B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bucaspor 1928 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caner O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 31 / 100
Bucaspor 1928 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Bucaspor 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bucaspor 1928 conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Ayvalikgucu found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ayvalikgucu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Bucaspor 1928
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
01 Nov
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
27 Oct
Sariyer
1 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
24 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
18 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
11 Oct
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 7

Bucaspor 1928

(Away)
01 Nov
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
24 Oct
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 1
Eskisehir Anadolu
18 Oct
Kepez Bld.
1 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
11 Oct
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 9 6 3 0 19:4 21
2 Eskisehirspor 9 5 3 1 28:10 18
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 Ayvalikgucu 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
5 Balikesirspor 9 5 2 2 25:16 17
6 Etimesgut 9 5 2 2 12:5 17
7 Bigaspor 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
8 Bursa Yildirimspor 9 4 5 0 11:6 17
9 Karsiyaka 9 4 3 2 13:6 15
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 9 3 1 5 10:16 10
11 Altay 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
12 Kepez Bld. 9 2 2 5 7:13 8
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
14 Soke 1970 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
15 Bucaspor 1928 9 2 0 7 9:16 6
16 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 9 1 3 5 6:20 6
17 Aksehirspor 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
18 Alanya 1221 9 1 1 7 5:22 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)