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Ayvalikgucu vs Kepez Bld. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ozyasar M. E.
Assist: Meral B. M.
20' Event
Dogan Y.
34' Event
Bayram A.
Assist: Cevher T.

AI Match Summary

Ayvalikgucu in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ayvalikgucu
20%
Draws
34%
Kepez Bld.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu have won more games recently than Kepez Bld..
  • Ayvalikgucu are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ayvalikgucu have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Kepez Bld.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.54 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Ayvalikgucu vs Kepez Bld.
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Kepez Bld. vs Ayvalikgucu
2:3
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Kepez Bld.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozyasar M. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dogan Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Kepez Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayram A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 42 / 100
Kepez Bld. 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Kepez Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Ayvalikgucu scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Kepez Bld. conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Ayvalikgucu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Kepez Bld.
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
01 Nov
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
27 Oct
Sariyer
1 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
24 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
18 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
11 Oct
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
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Kepez Bld.

(Away)
31 Oct
Kepez Bld.
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Oct
Alanya 1221
1 : 2
Kepez Bld.
18 Oct
Kepez Bld.
1 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
11 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Kepez Bld.
07 Oct
Eskisehir Anadolu
4 : 2
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 9 6 3 0 19:4 21
2 Eskisehirspor 9 5 3 1 28:10 18
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 Ayvalikgucu 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
5 Balikesirspor 9 5 2 2 25:16 17
6 Etimesgut 9 5 2 2 12:5 17
7 Bigaspor 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
8 Bursa Yildirimspor 9 4 5 0 11:6 17
9 Karsiyaka 9 4 3 2 13:6 15
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 9 3 1 5 10:16 10
11 Altay 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
12 Kepez Bld. 9 2 2 5 7:13 8
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
14 Soke 1970 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
15 Bucaspor 1928 9 2 0 7 9:16 6
16 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 9 1 3 5 6:20 6
17 Aksehirspor 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
18 Alanya 1221 9 1 1 7 5:22 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)