Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Ozyasar M. E.
Assist: Meral B. M.
20'
20'
Dogan Y.
34'
34'
Bayram A.
Assist: Cevher T.
AI Match Summary
Ayvalikgucu in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayvalikgucu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayvalikgucu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ayvalikgucu have won more games recently than Kepez Bld..
- Ayvalikgucu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ayvalikgucu have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ayvalikgucu | Kepez Bld. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Ayvalikgucu vs Kepez Bld.
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Kepez Bld. vs Ayvalikgucu
2:3
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Kepez Bld.
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ayvalikgucu Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozyasar M. E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dogan Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Kepez Bld. Compare
Top Goalscorer Bayram A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ayvalikgucu 85 / 100
Kepez Bld. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ayvalikgucu Kepez Bld.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kepez Bld. has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Away concern: Kepez Bld. has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ayvalikgucu scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Ayvalikgucu VS Kepez Bld.
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ayvalikgucu
(Home) 12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1 Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3 Ayvalikgucu
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2 52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0 Ayvalikgucu
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0 Eskisehirspor
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1 Kepez Bld.
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2 52 Orduspor
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0 Eskisehirspor
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0 Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
9 : 1 Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 4
Kepez Bld.
(Away) 12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1 Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Kepez Bld.
0 : 2 Eskisehir Anadolu
25 Apr
Batman Petrolspor
6 : 0 Kepez Bld.
19 Apr
Kepez Bld.
2 : 4 Altinordu
12 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 0 Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1 Kepez Bld.
25 Apr
Batman Petrolspor
6 : 0 Kepez Bld.
12 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
1 : 0 Kepez Bld.
04 Apr
Elazigspor
3 : 1 Kepez Bld.
24 Mar
24Erzincanspor
2 : 1 Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balikesirspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Ayvalikgucu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Gemlikspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Eskisehirspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Soke 1970 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Etimesgut | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bucaspor 1928 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 11 | Bigaspor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Altay | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Kepez Bld. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 16 | Aksehirspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 17 | Gaziemir Spor Kulubu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | 0 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)
