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Ayvalikgucu vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ayvalikgucu host Usak Belediyespor Kulubu in the 3. Lig Group 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Ayvalikgucu have conceded 0.81 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Ayvalikgucu slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.88, favoring Ayvalikgucu. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ayvalikgucu
35%
Draws
13%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayvalikgucu come out ahead of Usak Belediyespor Kulubu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ayvalikgucu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 20%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ayvalikgucu Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ayvalikgucu 49 / 100
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ayvalikgucu Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayvalikgucu scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ayvalikgucu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ayvalikgucu VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ayvalikgucu

(Home)
01 Nov
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1
Bucaspor 1928
27 Oct
Sariyer
1 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
24 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
18 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
11 Oct
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Away)
31 Oct
Kepez Bld.
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Oct
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
18 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
11 Oct
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1
Altay
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 9 6 3 0 19:4 21
2 Eskisehirspor 9 5 3 1 28:10 18
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 Ayvalikgucu 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
5 Balikesirspor 9 5 2 2 25:16 17
6 Etimesgut 9 5 2 2 12:5 17
7 Bigaspor 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
8 Bursa Yildirimspor 9 4 5 0 11:6 17
9 Karsiyaka 9 4 3 2 13:6 15
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 9 3 1 5 10:16 10
11 Altay 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
12 Kepez Bld. 9 2 2 5 7:13 8
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
14 Soke 1970 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
15 Bucaspor 1928 9 2 0 7 9:16 6
16 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 9 1 3 5 6:20 6
17 Aksehirspor 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
18 Alanya 1221 9 1 1 7 5:22 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)