Sport Picks
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Aston Villa U19
Europe
UEFA Youth League AZ Training Centre, Alkmaar 
Match Events
15'
15'
Jimoh-Aloba J.
Assist: Broggio B.
29'
29'
van Ouytsel K.
38'
38'
Budko B.
Assist: Bouziane W.
AI Match Summary
AZ Alkmaar U19 in this UEFA Youth League tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AZ Alkmaar U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- AZ Alkmaar U19 have won more games recently than Aston Villa U19.
- Win probability leans AZ Alkmaar U19's way, sitting at 90%.
- AZ Alkmaar U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AZ Alkmaar U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Aston Villa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar U19 | Aston Villa U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 9, 2025 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Aston Villa U19
2:1
Nov 26, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Aston Villa U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Budko B.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Wit T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Aston Villa U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimoh-Aloba J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AZ Alkmaar U19 85 / 100
Aston Villa U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AZ Alkmaar U19 Aston Villa U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AZ Alkmaar U19's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Defensive concern: Aston Villa U19 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AZ Alkmaar U19 VS Aston Villa U19
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AZ Alkmaar U19
(Home) 06 Jun
Feyenoord U19
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar U19
30 May
Sparta Rotterdam U19
0 : 2 AZ Alkmaar U19
20 May
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 1 Nijmegen U19
16 May
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 1 Den Haag U19
09 May
AZ Alkmaar U19
8 : 2 Volendam U19
Page 1 of 7
20 May
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 1 Nijmegen U19
16 May
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 1 Den Haag U19
09 May
AZ Alkmaar U19
8 : 2 Volendam U19
18 Apr
AZ Alkmaar U19
4 : 3 Ajax U19
21 Mar
AZ Alkmaar U19
4 : 3 Sparta Rotterdam U19
Page 1 of 4
Aston Villa U19
(Away) 09 Dec
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 1 Aston Villa U19
26 Nov
Aston Villa U19
2 : 2 AZ Alkmaar U19
05 Nov
Aston Villa U19
6 : 0 Skenderbeu Korca U19
21 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca U19
1 : 1 Aston Villa U19
04 Mar
Aston Villa U19
1 : 3 Barcelona U19
Page 1 of 6
09 Dec
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 1 Aston Villa U19
21 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca U19
1 : 1 Aston Villa U19
12 Feb
Puskas Akademia U19
1 : 2 Aston Villa U19
10 Dec
RB Leipzig U19
3 : 4 Aston Villa U19
06 Nov
Club Brugge U19
2 : 6 Aston Villa U19
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy U191
Din. Minsk U193
TBD-
Ludogorets U19-
AEK Larnaca U19-
TBD-
Zrinjski U191
Dinamo Tbilisi U194
Bravo U19-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto U19-
Basel U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Betis U19-
Austria Vienna U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa U19-
Nantes U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Sabah Baku U19-
Ostrava U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda U19-
Zilina U19-
TBD-
Shelbourne U1912
Rabotnicki U191
Larne U193
Racing Luxembourg U194
TBD-
Koln U19-
Midtjylland U19-
TBD-
Haverfordwest U193
Buducnost U195
BE1 NFA U191
HJK U195
TBD-
Trabzonspor U19-
Genk U19-
TBD-
Vikingur U194
Narva U192
Jelgava U192
KA Akureyri U193
TBD-
PAOK U19-
Legia U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Fiorentina U19-
Lok. Zagreb U19-
TBD-
TBD-
FCSB U19-
Brann U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Puskas Akademia U19-
Dynamo Kyiv U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Brommapojkarna U19-
Hibernian U19-
TBD-
TBD-
2 Korriku U19-
Inter Escaldes U190
Skenderbeu Korca U1915
TBD-
Aston Villa U19-
AZ Alkmaar U19-
TBD-
Naxxar Lions U191
Lincoln Red Imps U196
Semi-finals
Din. Minsk U192
Ludogorets U191
AEK Larnaca U193
Dinamo Tbilisi U196
Bravo U191
FC Porto U198
Basel U193
Betis U194
Austria Vienna U192
Maccabi Haifa U194
Nantes U197
Sabah Baku U191
Ostrava U191
Crvena zvezda U194
Zilina U193
Shelbourne U192
Racing Luxembourg U191
Koln U195
Midtjylland U198
Buducnost U191
HJK U193
Trabzonspor U192
Genk U1911
Vikingur U191
KA Akureyri U190
PAOK U194
Legia U196
Fiorentina U194
Lok. Zagreb U194
FCSB U196
Brann U191
Puskas Akademia U192
Dynamo Kyiv U193
Brommapojkarna U191
Hibernian U194
2 Korriku U191
Skenderbeu Korca U191
Aston Villa U197
AZ Alkmaar U199
Lincoln Red Imps U190
Final
Din. Minsk U193
Dinamo Tbilisi U192
FC Porto U190
Betis U199
Maccabi Haifa U194
Nantes U192
Crvena zvezda U193
Zilina U194
Koln U195
Midtjylland U192
HJK U193
Genk U192
PAOK U192
Legia U194
FCSB U194
Puskas Akademia U195
Dynamo Kyiv U192
Hibernian U191
Aston Villa U193
AZ Alkmaar U194