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AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Nijmegen U19

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar U19 host Nijmegen U19 in the Divisie 1 U19. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Nijmegen U19 have shipped 2.69 goals a game lately, while AZ Alkmaar U19 have conceded 1.28 and scored 2.69. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar U19 slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.88 vs 1.38, favoring AZ Alkmaar U19. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AZ Alkmaar U19
15%
Draws
48%
Nijmegen U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nijmegen U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar U19 lately — more wins on the board than Nijmegen U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Nijmegen U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar U19 Nijmegen U19
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.69 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Nijmegen U19
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
Nijmegen U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
Nijmegen U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
1:5
Sep 13, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Nijmegen U19
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar U19 30 / 100
Nijmegen U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar U19 Nijmegen U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar U19 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Nijmegen U19 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar U19 VS Nijmegen U19
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
29 Aug
De Graafschap U19
0 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
06 Jun
Feyenoord U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
Page 1 of 7

Nijmegen U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Nijmegen U19
6 : 3
De Graafschap U19
15 Sept
Nijmegen U19
5 : 4
Feyenoord U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Nijmegen U19
3 : 1
Zwolle U19
30 May
Feyenoord U19
5 : 0
Nijmegen U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
2 Nijmegen U19 4 3 0 1 17:12 9
3 Feyenoord U19 4 2 1 1 17:9 7
4 AZ Alkmaar U19 5 2 1 2 4:3 7
5 PSV U19 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
6 Zwolle U19 5 2 0 3 6:11 6
7 De Graafschap U19 5 1 2 2 10:10 5
8 Sparta Rotterdam U19 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
Promotion - Divisie 1 U19 (Play Offs)