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AZ Alkmaar vs Gent

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Daal R.
42' Event
Kanga W.
46'
Sub
Ito A. In: Cisse I.
Out: Ito A.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar play Gent in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, AZ Alkmaar averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Gent averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 2, Gent won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for AZ Alkmaar and 0.88 for Gent. This points to a AZ Alkmaar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
AZ Alkmaar
11%
Draws
80%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gent.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Gent.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 20%
Gent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Gent
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Gent
3:3
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Gent vs AZ Alkmaar
1:2
Jan 7, 2022 Club Friendly
Gent vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Sep 3, 2020 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Gent
1:1
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Gent
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Daal R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanga W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gambor H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 12 / 100
Gent 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Gent

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Gent let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gent lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Gent
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%