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AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Koopmeiners T.
Assist: Kolo Muani R.
23'
Sub
Schouten L. In: Hoedt W.
Out: Schouten L.
28'
Hoedt W.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between AZ Alkmaar and Juventus finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AZ Alkmaar
20%
Draws
40%
Juventus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar haven't matched Juventus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AZ Alkmaar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 17%
Juventus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Juventus
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.07 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Europa League
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Meerdink M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Koopmeiners T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolo Muani R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 36 / 100
Juventus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AZ Alkmaar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Juventus has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Juventus
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
31 Oct
Ajax
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
25 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2
Twente
22 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
18 Oct
Cambuur
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 6

Juventus

(Away)
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0
Napoli
28 Oct
Genoa
2 : 0
Juventus
25 Oct
Lecce
0 : 2
Juventus
22 Oct
Juventus
2 : 2
Rennes
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Benfica 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
3 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
4 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
5 Ferencvaros 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Juventus 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11 Omonia 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
13 Lyon 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
14 Real Sociedad 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17 Levski Sofia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Din. Zagreb 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19 Sturm Graz 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21 Salzburg 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24 AC Milan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25 Celta Vigo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28 Torreense 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29 Celje 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30 H. Beer Sheva 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33 Plzen 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34 Marseille 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35 Celtic 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)