Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Meerdink M.
Assist: Byskov V.
41'
41'
Alders G.
46'
46'
Sub
Alders G. In: Oudsten R.
Out: Alders G.
AI Match Summary
AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- AZ Alkmaar have won more games recently than Telstar.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- AZ Alkmaar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 20%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 KNVB Beker
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
2:1
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Meerdink M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Telstar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AZ Alkmaar 85 / 100
Telstar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AZ Alkmaar Telstar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).
Defensive concern: Telstar conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: AZ Alkmaar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AZ Alkmaar VS Telstar
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2 G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2 G.A. Eagles
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 Den Haag
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2 Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 4
Telstar
(Away) 20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0 Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2 Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4 Ajax
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0 Telstar
08 Aug
Nijmegen
1 : 2 Telstar
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1 Telstar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
