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AZ Alkmaar W vs Ajax W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar W host Ajax W in the Eredivisie Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: AZ Alkmaar W at 1.57 goals for, 2.03 against; Ajax W at 2.16 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, AZ Alkmaar W have won 1 to Ajax W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.15 - 1.71) back Ajax W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
57%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax W have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar W.
  • Ajax W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 12%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Ajax W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
5:1
May 8, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:1
Dec 12, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Ajax W
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 10 / 100
Ajax W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Ajax W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Ajax W
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
2.29 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 6

Ajax W

(Away)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)