Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
van Beijeren J.
39'
Lacroix R.
63'
van Beijeren J.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
37%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • PSV W have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PSV W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%
PSV W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W PSV W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 23
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.7 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
3:1
Mar 18, 2026 KNVB Beker Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs AZ Alkmaar W
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Beijeren J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Van Eynde Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripa C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 29 / 100
PSV W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: AZ Alkmaar W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

PSV W has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS PSV W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 6

PSV W

(Away)
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 6 6 0 0 27:3 18
2 Ajax W 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
3 AZ Alkmaar W 6 4 0 2 9:13 12
4 PSV W 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
5 Heerenveen W 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
6 Den Haag W 6 2 1 3 12:22 7
7 PEC Zwolle W 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
8 De Graafschap W 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
9 Feyenoord W 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
10 Utrecht W 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)