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AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
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Match Events

15' Event
Oude Elberink E.
Assist: Roord J.
48' Event
Oude Elberink E.
Assist: Roord J.
51' Event
Roord J.
Assist: Ravensbergen J.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women game between AZ Alkmaar W and Twente W finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Twente W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
61%
Twente W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Twente W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Twente W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Twente W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 11%
Twente W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Twente W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.57 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W
0:5
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs AZ Alkmaar W
4:1
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W
0:4
May 17, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Twente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oude Elberink E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roord J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 10 / 100
Twente W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Twente W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Twente W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Solid form: AZ Alkmaar W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Twente W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
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Twente W

(Away)
04 Oct
Twente W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
Twente W
4 : 0
Feyenoord W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)