Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
AZ Alkmaar W Logo

AZ Alkmaar W

1 - 1
FT
Utrecht W Logo

Utrecht W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bakker E.
Assist: de Vette M.
46'
Sub
Snellenberg M. In: Verhoeve S.
Out: Snellenberg M.
60'
Sub
Bakker E. In: Ellouzi S.
Out: Bakker E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AZ Alkmaar W
20%
Draws
23%
Utrecht W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Utrecht W have won more games recently than AZ Alkmaar W.
  • Win probability leans AZ Alkmaar W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 14%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Utrecht W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:3
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakker E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Utrecht W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tromp N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 75 / 100
Utrecht W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Utrecht W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Utrecht W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Utrecht W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
AZ Alkmaar W
16 Aug
AZ Alkmaar W
2 : 1
Den Haag W
04 Aug
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
14 Jul
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 1
Twente W
Page 1 of 6

Utrecht W

(Away)
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
Utrecht W
0 : 1
Ajax W
07 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 1
Hera United W
02 Aug
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Utrecht W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)