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AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Harting A.
Assist: Groot P.
46'
Sub
Harting A. In: De Visser A.
Out: Harting A.
46'
Sub
Henry Z. In: Kira C.
Out: Henry Z.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
8%
Utrecht W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar W have won more games recently than Utrecht W.
  • Win probability leans AZ Alkmaar W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 16%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Utrecht W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:3
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harting A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Utrecht W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 66 / 100
Utrecht W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Utrecht W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Utrecht W conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

AZ Alkmaar W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS Utrecht W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
AZ Alkmaar W
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Utrecht W

(Away)
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 6 6 0 0 27:3 18
2 Ajax W 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
3 AZ Alkmaar W 6 4 0 2 9:13 12
4 PSV W 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
5 Heerenveen W 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
6 Den Haag W 6 2 1 3 12:22 7
7 PEC Zwolle W 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
8 De Graafschap W 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
9 Feyenoord W 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
10 Utrecht W 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)