Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Dodoma Jiji

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Ngita J.
90' Event
Chilambo N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Azam and Dodoma Jiji finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Azam
15%
Draws
40%
Dodoma Jiji
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Azam a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Azam have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Dodoma Jiji
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.57 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Dodoma Jiji
2:0
Mar 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Azam
0:3
May 13, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Dodoma Jiji
5:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Azam
1:3
Mar 3, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Dodoma Jiji
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngita J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chilambo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 68 / 100
Dodoma Jiji 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Dodoma Jiji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Azam scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Azam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dodoma Jiji conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Dodoma Jiji
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 6

Dodoma Jiji

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)