Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Fountain Gate

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Chamazi Stadium, Chamazi
Azam Logo

Azam

4 - 0
FT
Fountain Gate Logo

Fountain Gate

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kitambala J.
22' Event
Abah A.
82' Event
Kibeku A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Azam
20%
Draws
23%
Fountain Gate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Fountain Gate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Azam a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Azam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Azam, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Azam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Fountain Gate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Azam
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Azam vs Fountain Gate
4:0
Jan 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Fountain Gate
0:0
Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Azam
2:3
Dec 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Fountain Gate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitambala J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 95 / 100
Fountain Gate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Fountain Gate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Azam's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Azam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Fountain Gate
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Fountain Gate

(Away)
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0