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Azam vs Geita Gold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Seif Kiakala T.
44' Event
Sillah G.
84' Event
Nado I.
Assist: Salum F.

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Azam
6%
Draws
4%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Geita Gold haven't matched Azam's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Azam taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Geita Gold
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Azam
0:2
Feb 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Geita Gold
2:1
Dec 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Azam
1:1
Aug 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Geita Gold
1:1
Apr 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Azam
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nado I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Seif Kiakala T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 95 / 100
Geita Gold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Geita Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Azam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Geita Gold
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Azam
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
24 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
Azam
21 Jun
Azam
3 : 2
Young Africans
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Geita Gold

(Away)
10 Apr
Geita Gold
0 : 1
Mashujaa
28 May
Geita Gold
0 : 2
Azam
25 May
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Geita Gold
21 May
Simba
4 : 1
Geita Gold
14 May
Geita Gold
0 : 0
Coastal Union
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30262271:1480
2Azam30216363:2169
3Simba30216359:2569
4Coastal Union301110922:1943
5Kinondoni MC30813927:3937
6Namungo308121027:2936
7Singida Black Stars30991229:3636
8Mashujaa30981330:3335
9Tanzania Prisons307131029:3534
10Kagera Sugar307131023:3234
11Fountain Gate30891329:3933
12Dodoma Jiji30891319:3233
13JKT Tanzania306141021:3032
14TRA United305121320:4127
15Geita Gold305101518:3825
16Mtibwa Sugar30561930:5421
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 (Relegation)