Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Pamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Molia H.
45' Event
Okorocha N.
62' Event
Suleiman A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Azam
20%
Draws
23%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Pamba.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Pamba
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 21 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.72 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Pamba
2:1
May 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Pamba
2:0
Mar 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Azam
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Azam
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Pamba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Molia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Okorocha N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 59 / 100
Pamba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Pamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Azam stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Pamba
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Oct
ZED FC
1 : 1
Azam
09 Oct
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
Page 1 of 7

Pamba

(Away)
16 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 1
Pamba
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Dodoma Jiji 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
5 JKT Tanzania 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
6 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
7 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
8 Polisi Tanzania 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
9 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 7:11 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
12 Geita Gold 8 2 1 5 9:15 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 8 1 3 4 9:16 6
15 Pamba 8 1 2 5 9:14 5
16 Fountain Gate 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)