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Azam vs Ruvu Shooting Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Mbombo I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Azam and Ruvu Shooting finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Azam
15%
Draws
0%
Ruvu Shooting
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Ruvu Shooting on wins alone.
  • Model gives Azam a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Azam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Ruvu Shooting
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.65 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Azam
1:3
Nov 15, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Ruvu Shooting
1:0
May 24, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Azam
1:1
Dec 23, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Ruvu Shooting
4:1
Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Azam
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbombo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 95 / 100
Ruvu Shooting 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Ruvu Shooting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ruvu Shooting conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Ruvu Shooting has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Azam found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

Ruvu Shooting

(Away)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)