Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Tanzania Prisons

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Salum F.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Nado I.
63'
Sengati K.

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Azam
20%
Draws
33%
Tanzania Prisons
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Tanzania Prisons.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 23 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Tanzania Prisons
2:0
Mar 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Azam
0:0
Mar 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Tanzania Prisons
4:0
Oct 18, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Azam
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Azam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nado I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 95 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Tanzania Prisons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Tanzania Prisons's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Azam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Tanzania Prisons
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
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Tanzania Prisons

(Away)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)