Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U19 vs Lithuania U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Grudzinskas D.
Assist: Pukelis O.
37'
Sub
Ibrahim A. In: Valiyev A.
Out: Ibrahim A.
37'
Sub
Hazizada I. In: Nasibli N.
Out: Hazizada I.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 game between Azerbaijan U19 and Lithuania U19 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Azerbaijan U19
15%
Draws
59%
Lithuania U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lithuania U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Azerbaijan U19 haven't matched Lithuania U19's recent run of results.
  • Lithuania U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Azerbaijan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Lithuania U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U19 Lithuania U19
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U19
Azerbaijan U19 vs Lithuania U19
0:4
Oct 9, 2016 Euro U19
Azerbaijan U19 vs Lithuania U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lithuania U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grudzinskas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Piazenko R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U19 10 / 100
Lithuania U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U19 Lithuania U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lithuania U19 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Azerbaijan U19's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Azerbaijan U19 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U19 VS Lithuania U19
1 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U19

(Home)
28 Mar
Northern Ireland U19
2 : 1
Azerbaijan U19
25 Mar
Azerbaijan U19
0 : 4
Lithuania U19
18 Nov
Azerbaijan U19
2 : 1
Malta U19
15 Nov
Northern Ireland U19
1 : 0
Azerbaijan U19
12 Nov
Czech Republic U19
6 : 1
Azerbaijan U19
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania U19

(Away)
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Lithuania U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
25 Mar
Azerbaijan U19
0 : 4
Lithuania U19
18 Nov
Lithuania U19
1 : 2
Latvia U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U19 3 2 1 0 16:3 7
2 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
3 Andorra U19 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kosovo U19 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Armenia U19 3 1 2 0 11:2 5
3 Turkey U19 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus U19 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Slovakia U19 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Latvia U19 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
4 San Marino U19 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Luxembourg U19 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Albania U19 3 1 1 1 10:5 4
4 Malta U19 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Moldova U19 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 North Macedonia U19 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania U19 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
2 Northern Ireland U19 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Azerbaijan U19 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland U19 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Montenegro U19 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
3 Georgia U19 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 (Round 2 - League B)