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Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U21 vs Latvia U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Ahmadov R. In: Suleymali A.
Out: Ahmadov R.
32' Event
Cafarov C.
45'
Novikovs J.

AI Match Summary

Azerbaijan U21 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azerbaijan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Azerbaijan U21
35%
Draws
30%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Latvia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Azerbaijan U21.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Azerbaijan U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U21 vs Latvia U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafarov C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Latvia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 36 / 100
Latvia U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Latvia U21 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Azerbaijan U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Azerbaijan U21 scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U21 VS Latvia U21
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Azerbaijan U21
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Latvia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
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