Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U21 vs Serbia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Dalga Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Djurdjevic V.
40' Event
Mijatovic J.
Assist: Milicic N.
47' Event
Akhundzade N.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Azerbaijan U21 and Serbia U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serbia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Azerbaijan U21
20%
Draws
52%
Serbia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serbia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serbia U21 come out ahead of Azerbaijan U21 on wins alone.
  • Serbia U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Serbia U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U21 Serbia U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Serbia U21
0:2
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Serbia U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Serbia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Djurdjevic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mijatovic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 19 / 100
Serbia U21 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U21 Serbia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U21 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Azerbaijan U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Azerbaijan U21 scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U21 VS Serbia U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Azerbaijan U21
Page 1 of 6

Serbia U21

(Away)
30 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 2
Serbia U21
26 Mar
Kyrgyzstan U23
2 : 2
Serbia U21
18 Nov
Serbia U21
1 : 0
USA U21
14 Nov
Czech Republic U21
1 : 2
Serbia U21
10 Oct
Romania U21
0 : 1
Serbia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)