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Stadium Background

Azerbaijan vs Saint Lucia

World World

FIFA Series Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Logo

Azerbaijan

6 - 1
FT
Saint Lucia Logo

Saint Lucia

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mahmudov E.
(Penalty)
21' Event
Sadikhov A.
Assist: Cafarquliyev E.
30'
Safarov E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-1. This leg finished 6-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Azerbaijan
15%
Draws
21%
Saint Lucia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azerbaijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Azerbaijan haven't matched Saint Lucia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Azerbaijan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Saint Lucia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Azerbaijan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Azerbaijan Clean Sheet 68%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan Saint Lucia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 FIFA Series
Azerbaijan vs Saint Lucia
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadikhov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qurbanly M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Saint Lucia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan 95 / 100
Saint Lucia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan Saint Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azerbaijan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Lucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Solid form: Azerbaijan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Saint Lucia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan VS Saint Lucia
0.25 Goals Scored 0.83
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1
Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Azerbaijan
1 : 3
France
Page 1 of 6

Saint Lucia

(Away)
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1
Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1
Barbados
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan 6
Saint Lucia 1
Oman -
Sierra Leone -
Indonesia 4
Saint Kitts and Nevis 0
Solomon Islands 2
Bulgaria 10
Kazakhstan -
Comoros -
Kuwait -
Namibia -
United States Virgin Islands 5
American Samoa 2
Puerto Rico 4
Guam 0
Rwanda 4
Grenada 0
Kenya 1
Estonia 2
Aruba 4
Macau 1
Tanzania 0
Liechtenstein 1
Final
Azerbaijan 2
Sierra Leone 1
Indonesia 0
Bulgaria 1
TBD -
TBD -
United States Virgin Islands 0
Puerto Rico 2
Rwanda 2
Estonia 0
Aruba 4
Liechtenstein 1