Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Nations League Women ASCO Arena, Baku

Azerbaijan W

0 - 5

Lithuania W

Our Tip

Match Events

Jonusaite R.

Assist: Kriauciunaite E.

10'

Griksaite M.

Assist: Lazdauskaite U.

30'

Jonusaite R.

Assist: Vaitukaityte L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Azerbaijan W and Lithuania W finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Azerbaijan W

20%

Draws

38%

Lithuania W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azerbaijan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Azerbaijan W carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Azerbaijan W Clean Sheet 20%

Lithuania W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Azerbaijan W	Lithuania W
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	11
Draws	4	5
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.03	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women

Azerbaijan W vs Lithuania W

0:5

Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women

Lithuania W vs Azerbaijan W

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Lithuania W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonusaite R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Griksaite M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan W 32 / 100

Lithuania W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Azerbaijan W Lithuania W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Azerbaijan W scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Lithuania W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Azerbaijan W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan W VS Lithuania W

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan W

(Home)

09 Jun

North Macedonia W

1 : 3

Azerbaijan W

05 Jun

Azerbaijan W

1 : 2

Hungary W

18 Apr

Azerbaijan W

2 : 0

Andorra W

14 Apr

Andorra W

1 : 3

Azerbaijan W

07 Mar

Hungary W

1 : 0

Azerbaijan W

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Lithuania W

(Away)

09 Jun

Lithuania W

2 : 0

Liechtenstein W

05 Jun

Bosnia & Herzegovina W

0 : 0

Lithuania W

18 Apr

Estonia W

2 : 1

Lithuania W

14 Apr

Lithuania W

2 : 0

Bosnia & Herzegovina W

07 Mar

Lithuania W

0 : 0

Estonia W

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