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Azkals vs Kaya FC

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Azkals play Kaya FC in the PFL 2022. Kaya FC are favorites here. Recently, Azkals averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Kaya FC averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Azkals won 0, Kaya FC won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2023 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Azkals and 2.37 for Kaya FC. This points to a Kaya FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Azkals
15%
Draws
57%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Azkals picked up more points recently compared to Kaya FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.37 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Azkals Clean Sheet 10%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azkals Kaya FC
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 8 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.18 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 PFL
Azkals vs Kaya FC
2:3
Mar 18, 2023 PFL
Kaya FC vs Azkals
3:1
Oct 1, 2022 PFL
Azkals vs Kaya FC
0:1
Aug 7, 2022 PFL
Kaya FC vs Azkals
1:0
Apr 20, 2022 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Kaya FC vs Azkals
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azkals Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azkals 27 / 100
Kaya FC 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azkals Kaya FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaya FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Kaya FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Azkals attacking → ← attacking Kaya FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azkals scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Kaya FC let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Azkals went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kaya FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kaya FC22181370:2055
2Cebu FC22156152:2351
3Stallion22112939:2635
4Mendiola FC 199122501719:6615
5Maharlika Manila22211914:607
6United City1273227:1324
7Azkals22631326:3921