Sport Picks
Azul Claro Numazu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan
J3 League 2025 Ashitaka Park Stadium, Numazu 
Match Events
3'
3'
Nishimura Y.
Assist: Kotake S.
17'
17'
Nishimura Y.
Assist: Fujimura R.
46'
46'
Sub
Watai K. In: Martinez E.
Out: Watai K.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League 2025 game between Azul Claro Numazu and Thespakusatsu Gunma finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Azul Claro Numazu haven't matched Thespakusatsu Gunma's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular J3 League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Azul Claro Numazu Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Azul Claro Numazu | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2025 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2
May 31, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Azul Claro Numazu
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Azul Claro Numazu
2:1
Jul 14, 2019 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1
Oct 14, 2018 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Azul Claro Numazu
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Azul Claro Numazu Compare
Top Goalscorer Saito M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Nishimura Y.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Azul Claro Numazu 36 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Azul Claro Numazu Thespakusatsu Gunma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Azul Claro Numazu found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Thespakusatsu Gunma's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Azul Claro Numazu VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Azul Claro Numazu
(Home) 15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1 Reilac Shiga
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
29 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Azul Claro Numazu
23 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 3 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1 Reilac Shiga
23 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 3 Fukushima United
16 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
02 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
0 : 0 SC Sagamihara
19 Oct
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 2 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Away) 07 Jun
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Gifu
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
17 May
Blaublitz
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
09 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 7
07 Jun
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
17 May
Blaublitz
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
06 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
03 May
Vanraure
0 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
18 Apr
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tochigi City | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 69:37 | 77 |
| 2 | Vanraure | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 46:23 | 72 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 55:33 | 71 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 61:45 | 67 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 53:45 | 59 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 42:36 | 58 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 46:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Nara Club | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 50:46 | 56 |
| 10 | Fukushima United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60:67 | 56 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 44:49 | 51 |
| 12 | SC Sagamihara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 38:50 | 50 |
| 13 | Gifu | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 52:60 | 47 |
| 14 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 56:59 | 46 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | 43 |
| 16 | Ryukyu | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40:60 | 38 |
| 19 | Nagano Parceiro | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29:57 | 35 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 40:57 | 28 |
Promotion - J2 League (Main)
Promotion - J3 League 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League 2025 (Relegation)