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Azuqueca vs Cazalegas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Blazquez S.

AI Match Summary

Cazalegas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cazalegas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Azuqueca
15%
Draws
20%
Cazalegas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azuqueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Azuqueca lately — more wins on the board than Cazalegas.
  • Model gives Azuqueca a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 68%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azuqueca Cazalegas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Cazalegas
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Azuqueca
1:3
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Cazalegas
4:3
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Azuqueca
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Azuqueca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azuqueca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cazalegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazquez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azuqueca 95 / 100
Cazalegas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azuqueca Cazalegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azuqueca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cazalegas has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Azuqueca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Azuqueca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azuqueca VS Cazalegas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azuqueca

(Home)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 6

Cazalegas

(Away)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)