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Azuqueca vs Tomelloso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Fane A.
75' Event
Pumareta A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Azuqueca
15%
Draws
32%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azuqueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Azuqueca have won more games recently than Tomelloso.
  • Model gives Azuqueca a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 20%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azuqueca Tomelloso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Azuqueca
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Tomelloso
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Azuqueca
0:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Tomelloso
1:1
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Tomelloso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azuqueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Fane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Tomelloso Compare

Top Goalscorer Pumareta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azuqueca 85 / 100
Tomelloso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azuqueca Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azuqueca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomelloso has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Azuqueca scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Azuqueca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Tomelloso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azuqueca VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azuqueca

(Home)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 7

Tomelloso

(Away)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)