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Azuriz vs Parana

Brazil Brazil

Copa Parana Estadio Os Pioneiros, Pato Branco
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Parana. This one's hard to separate. Parana have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Azuriz have conceded 1.03 and scored 0.62. Past meetings favor Azuriz slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.63, favoring Parana. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Azuriz
20%
Draws
47%
Parana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Parana have won more games recently than Azuriz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Parana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Azuriz, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Azuriz Clean Sheet 14%
Parana Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azuriz Parana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.62 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2025 Paranaense
Azuriz vs Parana
1:0
Jan 26, 2022 Paranaense
Parana vs Azuriz
2:1
May 12, 2021 Paranaense
Azuriz vs Parana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azuriz 30 / 100
Parana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azuriz Parana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azuriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Azuriz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Azuriz scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Parana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Azuriz VS Parana
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Azuriz

(Home)
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
30 Aug
Sao Joseense
1 : 0
Azuriz
07 Jun
Azuriz
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
01 Jun
Marcilio Dias
0 : 1
Azuriz
24 May
Azuriz
2 : 4
Blumenau
Page 1 of 6

Parana

(Away)
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
06 Jun
Parana
0 : 1
Paranavai-PR
30 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
Parana
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Paranavai-PR 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
3 Londrina B 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Azuriz 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
5 Foz do Iguacu 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
6 Sao Joseense 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 FC Cascavel 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
8 Athletico-PR B 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)