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Azzurri United vs Macarthur FC

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Darwin Football Stadium
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Azzurri United host Macarthur FC in the Australia Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Macarthur FC have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Azzurri United have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Azzurri United slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 1-1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Macarthur FC. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Azzurri United
40%
Draws
29%
Macarthur FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Azzurri United haven't matched Macarthur FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Cup games in Australia Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Azzurri United Clean Sheet 20%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azzurri United Macarthur FC
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Azzurri United vs Macarthur FC
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Macarthur FC vs Azzurri United
1-1
Mar 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Azzurri United vs Macarthur FC
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Macarthur FC vs Azzurri United
0-2
Jan 12, 2025 Australia Cup
Azzurri United vs Macarthur FC
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azzurri United 32 / 100
Macarthur FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azzurri United Macarthur FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Macarthur FC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Azzurri United VS Macarthur FC
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tigers FC-
Western Sydney Wanderers-
Kingborough Lions-
Melbourne Victory-
Azzurri United-
Macarthur FC-
APIA Leichhardt2
Peninsula1
South Melbourne-
Adelaide Utd-
Marlin Coast0
Brunswick Juventus4
Rochedale1
SD Raiders2
Weston Workers Bears-
Melbourne City-
Bayswater-
Sydney FC-
Maitland-
Fremantle City-
Queensland Lions-
Perth Glory-
Cumberland United-
Heidelberg Utd-
Sydney Utd-
Central Coast-
FK Beograd2
North Sunshine Eagles3
Preston Lions-
Newcastle Jets-
Sydney Olympic-
Brisbane Roar-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-