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B. Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

B. Monchengladbach host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Hoffenheim have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while B. Monchengladbach have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor B. Monchengladbach slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.38 - 2.00) back Hoffenheim to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
B. Monchengladbach
15%
Draws
36%
Hoffenheim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: B. Monchengladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hoffenheim lately — more wins on the board than B. Monchengladbach.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Monchengladbach Hoffenheim
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim
4:0
Jan 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs B. Monchengladbach
5:1
May 3, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim
4:4
Dec 21, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs B. Monchengladbach
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs B. Monchengladbach
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Monchengladbach 29 / 100
Hoffenheim 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Monchengladbach Hoffenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick B. Monchengladbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: B. Monchengladbach scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Hoffenheim let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Hoffenheim registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

B. Monchengladbach VS Hoffenheim
3 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Monchengladbach

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
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Hoffenheim

(Away)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)